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JACC: Clinical Electrophysiology

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match JACC: Clinical Electrophysiology's content profile, based on 13 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Immediate Block Is Not Stable Block: Early Mitral Isthmus Reconnection Despite Systematic Vein of Marshall Ethanol Infusion and Focal Pulsed Field Ablation With the Sphere-9™ Lattice-Tip Catheter

Da Costa, A.; Yvorel, C.; Romeyer, C.; Groussin, P.; Barengo, A.; Mohammed, R.; Azarnouch, K.; Grand, N.; Boukhris, M.; Benali, K.

2026-08-31 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361686 medRxiv
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Background. Durable mitral isthmus (MI) block remains challenging in persistent atrial fibrillation (PeAF) ablation. Recent epicardial vein of Marshall (VoM) recordings have shown incomplete MI transmurality and time-dependent conduction recovery after pulsed field ablation (PFA). Whether systematic VoM ethanol infusion (VoM-EI) followed by focal PFA provides stable acute MI block remains unknown. **Objectives.** To assess the incidence, timing, and procedural implications of early MI conduction recovery after systematic VoM-EI followed by focal Sphere-9 PFA. Methods.In this prospective single-center study, 55 consecutive patients undergoing first ablation for symptomatic PeAF with planned MI ablation were screened. VoM-EI was systematically attempted before left atrial access and successfully performed in 51 (92.7%), who constituted the study cohort. Pulmonary vein isolation, roof-line, and MI ablation were performed with the Sphere-9? lattice-tip catheter. After bidirectional MI block, conduction was systematically reassessed during a standardized 30-minute waiting period. Results.Mean age was 70.3 {+/-} 8.2 years, and 36 patients (70.6%) were men. Initial bidirectional MI block was achieved in 50/51 patients (98.0%). During the waiting period, conduction recovered in 9/50 (18.0%; 95% CI, 9.8%-30.8%), at a median of 16 minutes (IQR, 10-20; range, 8?23). Six of 9 patients with recovery (66.7%) required targeted coronary sinus (CS) ablation. Block was restored in all 9, yielding a final block rate of 50/51 (98.0%). Median procedure duration was 82 minutes (IQR, 73-95), with no major complications. Conclusions. Immediate bidirectional MI block was not synonymous with stable block. Despite systematic VoM-EI followed by focal Sphere-9 PFA, conduction recovered in approximately one in five patients, including beyond 20 minutes, and two thirds required targeted CS ablation. These findings support standardized 30-minute reassessment and targeted CS interrogation rather than reliance on immediate block. Chronic invasive remapping is required to determine whether this strategy improves long-term MI block durability.

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Pathway Modeling of Genomic and Tissue-Specific Transcriptomic Architecture Identifies Personalized Mechanisms of Atrial Fibrillation Risk

Venkatesh, R.; Deo, R.; Cappola, T.; Penn Medicine BioBank, ; Ritchie, M. D.; Kim, D.

2026-08-31 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.25.26361369 medRxiv
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Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia and a major cause of cardioembolic stroke. Although polygenic risk scores (PRS) are well characterized to quantify inherited susceptibility for AF, they provide limited insight into the pathways and tissues underlying genetic risk, which are critical to uncover for individual risk prediction. In this study, we develop a pathway-level multi-omics representation learning framework that converts individual genetic profiles into interpretable biological features by integrating GWAS-derived pathway burden scores with tissue-specific transcriptomic pathway signals. We constructed machine learning models to assess population-level AF risk prediction performance across genomic and transcriptomic tissue contexts; the pathway-based global attention models substantially improved risk prediction performance over PRS and other baselines (AUROC improved from 0.601 to 0.738). Transformer and graph neural network frameworks then assessed individual-level pathway interpretability, revealing heterogeneous contributions from electrical signaling, cardiac development, and DNA repair pathways to AF risk. This added interpretability highlights the potential of this pathway approach to enable more mechanistically informed risk stratification than static PRS by capturing underlying heterogeneity. To independently assess whether prioritized pathways reflected cardiac regulatory biology, we compared pathway rankings with transcriptional effects predicted by the AlphaGenome foundation model. Variants in highly ranked pathways showed significantly greater predicted effects on expression in atrial and ventricular tissues (FDR = 0.032) relative to controls, providing orthogonal evidence that the model identifies biologically relevant mechanisms. Overall, this work reframes polygenic risk from a single measure of susceptibility to tissue-informed pathway mechanisms, providing a framework for interpretable genomic stratification in complex diseases.

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Reconstructing synthetic hearts from ECG using flow matching

Zheng, J.; Kalaie, S.; Ma, Q.; Meng, Q.; Rjoob, K.; Gifani, P.; Hu, L.; Babazade, N.; Coriano, M.; Zhong, W.; Vafaeezadeh, M.; Tahasildar, S.; Vadgama, N.; Senevirathne, D. S.; Santhirasekaram, A.; McGurk, K. A.; Curran, L.; He, Y.; Chen, L.; Mo, Y.; Huang, L.; Qiao, M.; Huang, Y.; Bai, W.; O'Regan, D. P.

2026-09-04 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.09.01.26360987 medRxiv
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Cardiac imaging enables quantitative assessment of cardiac structure and function but remains constrained by cost, infrastructure and specialist expertise. In contrast, electrocardiogram (ECG) is widely accessible yet underexploited, despite encoding latent information about cardiac physiology. Here we introduce visionECG, a conditional flow matching framework that learns a probabilistic mapping between two biological distributions - the space of cardiac electrical signals and the space of cardiac geometries. Using 71,132 paired ECG and cardiac mesh sequence datasets from the UK Biobank, with external assessment in 5,000 patients with ECG-echocardiogram pairs, the model reconstructs quantitatively accurate spatiotemporal representations of the left ventricle using ECG inputs and basic demographic information alone. These reconstructions enable discrimination of structural abnormalities and disease labels, provide visualisations of functional abnormalities, and support flexible quantification of both global and regional parameters. By reframing the ECG as a generative source of patient-specific left ventricular geometry and motion, this work establishes a scalable framework for translating low-dimensional signals into high-dimensional, physiologically grounded structured representations.

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Bailout cardiac surgery in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement: a comprehensive analysis of post-marketing safety reports

Giordano, S.; Corcione, N.; Morello, A.; Cimmino, M.; Albanese, M.; Ferraro, P.; Vecchione, G.; Amat-Santos, I. J.; Giordano, A.; Biondi-Zoccai, G.

2026-08-31 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.25.26361376 medRxiv
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Background: Bailout cardiac surgery during transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) is uncommon but remains associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. Although registries have described its incidence and major causes, they often provide limited detail regarding device-related failure mechanisms, attempted transcatheter rescue, and the clinical pathway leading to surgical conversion. We aimed at analyzing post-marketing safety reports from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Manufacturer and User Facility Device Experience (MAUDE) database to characterize the mechanisms, management strategies, and reported outcomes of bailout surgery during or shortly after TAVR. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed FDA MAUDE reports received from July 1, 2016, through June 30, 2026. Eligible reports described unplanned urgent or emergent open cardiac surgery during or immediately after TAVR. Candidate reports were screened, adjudicated, and deduplicated at the clinical-event level. Events were classified by precipitating complication, transcatheter rescue, operative pathway, and reported outcome. Associations were evaluated using permutation tests, Fisher exact tests with Benjamini?Hochberg correction, adjusted regression models, and sensitivity analyses. Results: After screening 43,239 initial reports, we identified 376 bailout-surgery events, with survival status was documented in 254, including 104 deaths and 150 survivors, corresponding to 40.9% reported mortality. Valve embolization, migration, or malposition was the most frequent complication phenotype (32.4%), whereas ventricular perforation or laceration was associated with the highest mortality (74.1%; OR, 4.86; 95% CI, 1.97?11.99). Mortality differed across complication phenotypes (p<0.001) and operative pathways (p<0.001), but not across transcatheter rescue pathways (p=0.355). Valve explantation with SAVR was associated with lower reported mortality (18.9%; OR, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.12?0.69), whereas unspecified surgery or access/support alone was associated with higher mortality (56.9%; OR, 3.04; 95% CI, 1.80?5.12). Ancillary analyses identified potential platform-specific differences in complication and management patterns, while bailout timing was not independently associated with mortality after adjustment. Conclusions: In this MAUDE analysis, bailout cardiac surgery after TAVR was most commonly precipitated by valve embolization, migration, or malposition, whereas ventricular perforation or laceration was associated with the highest reported mortality. Outcomes differed across complication and operative pathways but not across transcatheter rescue strategies or bailout timing after adjustment. These findings identify clinically relevant post-marketing safety signals but should not be interpreted as incidence estimates, comparative device risks, or causal treatment effects.

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Chronic Atrial and Intestinal Dysrhythmia Syndrome: A Distinct Monogenic Cause of Cerebral Small Vessel Disease

Dallaire-Theroux, C.; Nehme, A.; Brunet, F.; Berthelot, C.; Camden, M.-C.; Bergeron, E.; Bizou, M.; Dubrac, A.; Chetaille, P.; Andelfinger, G.; Verreault, S.

2026-09-04 neurology 10.64898/2026.08.31.26360967 medRxiv
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Objective: Chronic atrial and intestinal dysrhythmia (CAID) syndrome is a rare autosomal recessive cohesinopathy classically defined by sick sinus syndrome and chronic intestinal pseudo-obstruction; however, emerging evidence suggests an association with cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD). We aimed to characterize the neurological and neuroimaging spectrum of CSVD in CAID syndrome. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional, retrospective study of 16 French-Canadians with genetically confirmed CAID syndrome. All patients underwent comprehensive neurological assessment. Brain MRI was performed in 14 patients, with CSVD markers evaluated by an expert neuroradiologist according to the STRIVE-2 criteria. Results: The median age at last evaluation was 34 years (range, 19-60); 62.5% were women. Neurological manifestations included migraines (44.4%), mild cerebellar signs (16.7%), and ischemic or hemorrhagic cerebrovascular events (12.5%). MRI showed white matter hyperintensities (92.9%), lacunes (50%) and cerebral microbleeds (85.7%), affecting deep, lobar, and infratentorial regions, with marked cerebellar predominance (11/12; 91.7%); five patients exhibited innumerable microbleeds. Despite the young cohort, moderate-to-severe CSVD was common (median SVD score 1.5, IQR 0-4). Patients with countless microbleeds were older than those with discrete lesions (46.2 vs. 31.2 years; p=0.043). Management of atrial fibrillation required individualized strategies, including left atrial appendage closure, balancing ischemic and hemorrhagic risks. Interpretation: CAID syndrome represents a novel monogenic cause of CSVD, characterized by early, extensive cerebral microbleeds with mixed distribution and distinctive cerebellar predominance. Coexisting congenital cardiac disease and arrhythmias place patients at dual ischemic and hemorrhagic risk. Systematic neurological evaluation and MRI are warranted, particularly prior to antithrombotic therapy.

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Novel Large Language Model-Based Detection of Echocardiographic Markers of Right Ventricular Dysfunction

Ekambarapu, L.; Pendyal, A.; Lin, A.; Alwakeel, M.; Rajaratnam, A.

2026-08-31 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361456 medRxiv
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Background: Unstructured biomedical data, such as echocardiography reports, are rich in information but time consuming to analyze at scale. Rule-based, regular expression-driven terminology mapping can only extract individual variables while large language models (LLMs) offer scalable and clinically meaningful interpretations of heterogeneous disease processes. Right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) is an example of a multifactorial disease state in which key structural and physiologic features are captured both narratively and in structured fields, making it an ideal test case for evaluating whether LLMs can recover complex phenotypes that rules based methods routinely miss. Purpose: To compare an LLM-based extraction method to a conventional rules-based schema for identifying and phenotyping echocardiographic features associated with RVD in a large TTE dataset. Methods: MIMIC-III NOTE2NUM echocardiography reports (n = 45,794) were analyzed using GPT-4o-based LLM extraction deployed within a secure health system enclave and were benchmarked against echocardiographic measurements defined in the MIMIC-III dictionary schema. In MIMIC-III, PH was recorded qualitatively (mild/moderate/severe) based on tricuspid regurgitant (TR) jet velocity and then re-coded as present vs. absent. LLM based extraction defined RVD as (1) RV structural abnormality (>= 1 of hypertrophy, dilation, or wall hypo-/akinesis) or (2) RV pressure/volume overload (>= 2 of the following: estimated right atrial pressure > 8 mmHg, TR jet velocity > 2.8 m/s, fractional area change < 35%, tricuspid annular planar systolic excursion < 17 mm, S' < 9.5 cm/s, or E/e' > 14), with PH defined as estimated pulmonary artery systolic pressure > 35 mmHg or qualitative documentation of PH. Results: LLM extraction identified PH in 15,394 (33.6%), RV pressure/volume overload in 14,449 (31.6%), and RV structural abnormalities in 11,955 (26.1%). Co-occurrence was common: overload + structural changes in 9,380 (20.5%), overload + PH in 9,756 (21.3%), structural changes + PH in 6,183 (13.5%), and all three in 5,620 (12.3%). Using the MIMIC-III dictionary schema, PH prevalence was similar (15,371; 33.6%), but RV overload fields were captured less often (pressure overload 1,357 [3.0%], volume overload 1,128 [2.5%], pressure + volume overload 1,093 [2.4%]; any overload field 3,578 [7.8%]), and RV pressure/volume overload with PH was identified in only 731 (1.6%). Conclusions: LLM-based extraction outperforms rules-based schemas for identifying complex disease states not defined by any single variable. By synthesizing multifactorial signals, LLMs can phenotype RVD with higher fidelity and support population-level assessment. Further validation using multimodality imaging, invasive hemodynamics, and clinical outcome data is needed.

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Changing Epidemiology of Acute Myocardial Infarction in the High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin Era

Taylor, B.; Oltman, C.; Shtembari, J.; Adoni, N.

2026-08-31 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361490 medRxiv
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Contemporary national-scale electronic health record (EHR) trends in documented acute myocardial infarction (AMI) rates during the high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) and Type 2 myocardial infarction (T2MI) era are not well characterized. We conducted a serial cross-sectional analysis of U.S. adults aged 18 years in Epic Cosmos from 2016-2024, encompassing 821,859,867 patient-years. Age- and sex-standardized AMI diagnosis rates increased 75.7%, from 343.1 to 602.7 per 100,000 patients. This increase was predominantly driven by T2MI, which increased 133.8% from 99.9 per 100,000 in 2018 to 233.4 per 100,000 in 2024; NSTEMI increased 13.8% while STEMI decreased 4.1%. Annual hs-cTn-tested encounters increased 34.5-fold from 2017 through 2024. The proportion of tested encounters associated with any AMI remained relatively stable after 2021, whereas T2MI continued to increase and surpassed NSTEMI in 2024 as the most frequently diagnosed AMI subtype per hs-cTn-tested encounters. Males had higher absolute AMI rates across all age groups, although relative increases were greater among females. Documented AMI epidemiology shifted substantially toward T2MI during expanding hs-cTn utilization, underscoring the need for evidence-based approaches to the evaluation and management of T2MI.

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Dose-finding, experimental medicine evaluation of sodium valproate for the prevention of post-cardiac surgery myocardial injury

Roman, M.; Beasley, N.; Ladak, S. S.; Solomon, C. U.; Liao, W.; Lai, F.; Joel-David, L.; Aujla, H.; Condorelli, G.; Wozniak, M. J.; Codd, V.; Webb, T. R.; Brookes, C.; Murphy, G. J.

2026-09-02 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.30.26361746 medRxiv
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Background: A dose finding trial evaluated safety and adherence for pre-cardiac surgery administration of sodium valproate. Integrated multi-omics analyses of myocardium were used to characterise mechanisms underlying the treatment effects. Methods: Adults undergoing cardiac surgery were randomised 1:1:1:1 with concealed allocation to no treatment (Controls), sodium valproate 15mg/kg/day for 1-2 weeks, 15mg/kg/day for 4-6 weeks, or 25mg/kg/day for 4-6 weeks pre-surgery. The primary analysis evaluated adherence and toxicity. Myocardial injury was defined by high sensitivity serum troponin at 24 hours post-surgery. Single-nucleus Assay for Transposase-Accessible Chromatin with sequencing (snATACseq) and single nuclei RNA sequencing (snRNAseq) of myocardial biopsies collected at surgery assessed treatment effects on chromatin accessibility and gene expression. Candidate mechanisms were validated in in vitro. Results: The analysis cohort included 42 participants enrolled between January 2020 and August 2024. Non-compliance (38%) was highest with longer and higher dosing. Sodium valproate 15mg/kg/day for 1-2 weeks had the highest levels of complete treatment adherence (70%), with 20% experiencing moderate/severe drug related adverse effects. An as-treated analyses demonstrated reductions in troponin release in participants receiving Valproate[&le;]14 days. Myocardial biopsies from trial participants demonstrated activation of hormetic p53 and Akt-GSK-3{beta} ferroptosis protection pathways. Treatment effects were not attributable to chromatin accessibility. Treatment >14 days resulted in a heart failure phenotype with suppression of ferroptosis protection pathways, endothelial mesenchymal transition, and increased myocardial injury. Conclusions: Sodium valproate 15mg/kg/day for [&le;]14 days pre-surgery is well tolerated in adults awaiting cardiac surgery. This treatment was associated with upregulation of ferroptosis protection pathways and reductions in myocardial injury.

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Sympathetic activation and the force-frequency relationship in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction

Straw, S.; Gupta, A.; Bretheron, B.; Cole, C. A.; Brown, O. I.; Kamalathasan, S.; Drozd, M.; Lowry, J. E.; Corrigan, J.; Paton, M. F.; Burgess, R.; Kearney, M. T.; Cubbon, R. M.; Witte, K. K.; Gierula, J.

2026-09-01 physiology 10.64898/2026.08.24.746885 medRxiv
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Background Limited heart rate rise contributes to reduced exercise tolerance for people who have heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), yet rate-adaptive pacing does not improve functional capacity due to an attenuated force-frequency relationship (FFR). How the FFR relates to total peripheral resistance and sympathetic tone in HFrEF is unknown. Methods In a prospective, observational study, participants with HFrEF and controls underwent an incremental pacing protocol, during which heart rate was increased from 50 to 140 beats per minute. At each heart rate increment LV contractility was measured by echocardiography to determine the FFR, as well as continuous beat-to-beat measurement of systolic and diastolic blood pressures with a plethysmography device to determine cardiac output, total peripheral resistance and blood pressure variability (BPV). A microneurography study was then conducted to measure muscle sympathetic nerve activity (MSNA) during incremental pacing. Results A total of 157 participants with HFrEF and 55 controls (mean age 71.1{+/-}1.4 years, 172 (81.1%) male) underwent the pacing protocol. We observed single units in seven of 11 participants who participated in the microneurography study. In both groups, LV contractility and cardiac output increased until the peak of the FFR, after which these declined. We observed a reduction in total peripheral resistance, blood pressure variability, MSNA frequency and incidence coinciding with the peak of the FFR, beyond which these increased. Whilst these relationships were present in both groups, they were more evident in participants with HFrEF. Conclusions For people with HFrEF there is a bidirectional relationship between heart rate and sympathetic activation, with a nadir of sympathetic tone occurring at the peak of the FFR. Both excessively low and high heart rates are accompanied by greater sympathetic activation. Taken together, these data suggest that optimal heart rate targets for HFrEF are likely to be individual.

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What Additional Insights Does a Bayesian Network Meta-Analysis Provide? Revisiting P2Y12 Inhibitors After Acute Coronary Syndromes

Kutcher, S.; Dendukuri, N.; Dandona, S.; Brophy, J.

2026-09-04 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361847 medRxiv
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Background: The optimal P2Y12 inhibitor after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) remains debated. A recent frequentist network meta-analysis (NMA) concluded prasugrel provided optimal efficacy-safety balance. We update our previous Bayesian NMA with recent trials and contrast our findings with the frequentist NMA. Methods: We extended our 2023 systematic review by adding two trials published after our search cutoff. The primary efficacy endpoint was a composite of all-cause mortality, a recurrent non-fatal myocardial infarction, or non-fatal stroke (MACE). The primary safety endpoint was study-reported major bleeding events. Bayesian network meta-analysis with a primary binomial complementary log-log model with log(time) offset and random effects was performed. A statistical workflow with prior and posterior predictive checks, convergence diagnostics, model comparisons, sensitivity analyses and probabilities for a range of practical equivalence (ROPE: HR 0.90-1.11) are also reported. Results: 19 RCTs (n = 60,619) were identified. For MACE, prasugrel's probability of a clinical efficacy benefit (hazard ratio (HR) <0.9) was 70% compared to clopidogrel (HR 0.87, 95% credible interval (CrI )0.76-1.03) and 54% compared to ticagrelor. (HR 0.89, 95% CrI 0.73-1.12). For the ticagrelor versus clopidogrel comparison 76% of the posterior probability (HR 0.98, 95%CrI 0.82-1.18) lies in the ROPE. Ticagrelor (HR 1.26, 95%CrI 1.01-1.63) and prasugrel (HR 1.1, 95%CrI 0.88-1.26) showed 86% and 51% probabilities respectively of meaningful bleeding harm (HR > 1.1) versus clopidogrel. Conclusions: Despite 19 RCTs and approximately 60,000 patients, the Bayesian framework revealed clinically important uncertainties and identified probable regions of equivalence among the different P2Y12 inhibitors that were under appreciated with the previous frequentist publication.

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Soft-Tissue versus Hematologic Primary Malignant Cardiac Tumors: Demographics and First-Course Treatment Patterns in the SEER Registry

Mathew, Z.; Mehta, R.; Kim, S.; Jeyaraj, J.; Asif, T.

2026-08-31 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.25.26361262 medRxiv
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Background: Primary malignant cardiac tumors (PMCTs) are rare and histologically heterogeneous. Objective: To compare demographics, specific ICD-O-3 morphologies, first-course treatment patterns, annual registered case counts, and unadjusted overall survival between soft-tissue and hematologic PMCTs. Methods: We identified 730 PMCT cases diagnosed from 2000 to 2021 in SEER 18 (ICD-O-3 topography C38.0). Histologic lineage was assigned from ICD-O-3 morphology. Comparative analyses included soft-tissue (n=458) and hematologic (n=212) tumors. First-course variables were primary-site surgery, chemotherapy (yes versus no/unknown), and radiotherapy (radiation versus none/unknown). Groups were compared with chi-square tests. Overall survival was estimated with Kaplan-Meier methods; follow-up was truncated at 120 months. Results: Soft-tissue PMCTs occurred predominantly at ages 45-64 years (67.9%), whereas hematologic PMCTs occurred predominantly at age [&ge;]65 years (63.2%; p<0.001). Men comprised 59.9% of hematologic and 49.3% of soft-tissue cases (p=0.014). The leading soft-tissue morphology was hemangiosarcoma/angiosarcoma (ICD-O-3 9120/3; 201/458, 43.9%); synovial sarcoma accounted for 20/458 cases (4.4%). Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, NOS, accounted for 131/212 hematologic tumors (61.8%). Any primary-site surgery was recorded in 66.6% of soft-tissue versus 15.6% of hematologic cases (p<0.001). Chemotherapy was recorded in 67.5% versus 51.1% (p<0.001), and radiotherapy in 9.0% versus 20.5% (p<0.001). In exploratory Kaplan-Meier analyses, hematologic patients with recorded chemotherapy had higher unadjusted 120-month overall survival than those without recorded chemotherapy (42.0% versus 12.2%; log-rank p=7.5x10-). Radiation-associated survival differences were not statistically significant in either lineage. Conclusions: Soft-tissue and hematologic PMCTs have distinct age distributions, named histologies, and first-course treatment patterns in SEER. These findings describe registry coding and do not establish treatment effectiveness or population incidence.

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Shape Analysis of Coronary Flow Waveforms using Singular Value Decomposition

Sturgess, V. E.; Schenk, N. A.; Ziegele, J. W.; Essajee, S. I.; Tune, J. D.; Rajapakse, I.; Figueroa, C. A.; Beard, D. A.

2026-08-31 physiology 10.64898/2026.08.26.743980 medRxiv
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Coronary flow waveforms have a distinct diastolic-dominant shape with periods of low or retrograde flow during systole. While the general waveform shape has been attributed to complex interactions between cardiac and vascular mechanics, there is limited research into the variability in coronary flow waveforms and what this variability may reveal about cardiac function. This work presents a shape analysis of left anterior descending artery (LAD) flow waveforms using Fourier transforms and Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) performed on baseline data collected from 32 pigs. Pigs included in the study reflect two breeds (Ossabaw and Yorkshire) and three different experimental conditions (lean-control, lean-paced, and obese-paced). Fourier transforms were used to decompose the waveforms into 15 harmonics for each pig. An SVD analysis is then used to extract temporal patterns of the waveforms. Correlations between pig-specific coefficients for the SVD modes and clinical metrics were used to investigate physiological explanations of LAD waveform variability. Temporal LAD flow patterns of the second SVD mode are significantly correlated with heart rate. The third SVD mode significantly correlates with mean blood pressure and maximum hyperemic flow. Furthermore, the fourth SVD mode is weakly correlated with left-ventricular end diastolic pressure and endocardial-epicardial flow ratios. This work demonstrates that LAD flow waveforms can be broken down into temporal patterns that correlate with physiological features. Furthermore, this shape-analysis method allows for waveform reconstruction and simplifies visualization of the temporal patterns identified using SVD, an advantage over existing methods that focus on characterizing flow waveforms by points of interest.

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Evaluation of risk stratification at presentation using the Alinity high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I assay

Li, Z.; Fujisawa, T.; Skadberg, O.; Fineran, P.; Thurston, A. J.; Tew, Y. Y.; Aakre, K. M.; Mills, N. L.; Wereski, R.; the POC-ET Investigators,

2026-08-31 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.29.26361405 medRxiv
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Background: High-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) assays enable safe early discharge of patients at very low risk for myocardial infarction. We previously developed a single-sample rule-out pathway using the ARCHITECT hs-cTnI assay to risk stratify patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome. In a secondary analysis of the POC-ET (Point of Care Evaluation of High-sensitivity Cardiac Troponin) study, we evaluated performance of risk stratification with the Alinity hs-cTnI assay. Methods: Patients presenting with possible myocardial infarction in the POC-ET (NCT05665127) study were included. The primary outcome was type 1, 4b or 4c myocardial infarction or cardiac death at 30 days. Cardiac troponin I (cTnI) was measured in stored materials using the ARCHITECT and Alinity hs-cTnI assays. The sex-specific 99th percentile upper reference limit (URL) are 34 ng/L in men and 16 ng/L in women for both assays. Agreement was assessed with Bland-and-Altman limit of agreement method, Passing Bablok regression, and Pearson's correlation coefficient. Distributions of presentation measurements were compared with Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. Performance was evaluated in the overall population and prespecified subgroups. The negative predictive value (NPV) and sensitivity were determined and proportion of patients identified as low, intermediate, and high risk were calculated and modelled using ordinal logistic regression. Results: In 986 patients (60 [51-70] years, 38% female), 78 (7.9%) had a primary outcome. Strong agreement was found in the raw cTnI measurements (99% samples within the Bland-Altman limit of agreement; correlation coefficient r: 0.967 (95% CI 0.964-0.969, P<0.001); Passing Bablok regression: slope 1.12 [1.11-1.13], intercept -0.16 [-0.18 to -0.13]). At presentation, distributions of cTnI measurements by the two assays were similar (P=0.810). Both assays showed comparable diagnostic performance using a risk stratification threshold of <5 ng/L and the sex-specific diagnostic threshold, with the same NPV (Alinity 100 [99.7-100]% versus ARCHITECT 100 [99.7-100]%) and sensitivity (Alinity 100 [97.3-100]% versus ARCHITECT 100 [97.3-100]%). Similar proportions of patients stratified as low- (Alinity 67% versus ARCHITECT 67%), intermediate-risk (23% versus 24%) and high-risk (10% versus 9%) at presentation with minor reclassification. Similar efficacy was observed across subgroups stratified by sex, age, history of myocardial infarction, renal function, and symptom duration. Conclusions: The Alinity hs-cTnI and the ARCHITECT hs-cTnI assays can be used interchangeably in the assessment of suspected myocardial infarction with comparable safety and efficacy.

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Impact of stepwise dual antiplatelet therapy de-escalation in patients with multivessel disease undergoing drug-coated balloon angioplasty: insights from the REC-CAGEFREE II trial

Gao, C.; Zhang, Y.; He, X.; Yuan, M.; Mou, F.; Zhou, J.; Chen, H.; Wang, H.; Guo, W.; Wei, Y.; Zhang, Z.; Yin, T.; Zhang, C.; Lian, Z.; Zhu, B.; Liu, J.; Zhang, R.; Fu, G.; Onuma, Y.; Wang, D.; Serruys, P. W.; Yi, F.; Tao, L.

2026-09-02 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361869 medRxiv
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BACKGROUND The optimal antiplatelet regimen in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and multivessel disease undergoing drug-coated balloon (DCB) angioplasty remains unclear. METHODS This was a prespecified subgroup analysis of the REC-CAGEFREE II trial, which was conducted at 41 sites in China and randomized 1948 exclusively DCB-treated participants with ACS to stepwise dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) de-escalation or standard DAPT. The primary endpoint was net adverse clinical events (NACE; including all-cause death, stroke, myocardial infarction, revascularization, and BARC type 3 or 5 bleeding) at 12 months. Participants were stratified into multivessel and single-vessel subgroups according to angiographic characteristics. RESULTS Overall, 720/1948 (37.0%) patients had multivessel disease. The multivessel subgroup was associated with a significantly higher risk of NACE compared with the single-vessel subgroup (12.5% versus 6.7%, HR IPTW:1.84, 95%CI:1.35-2.51, P<0.001). No significant interaction was observed between vessel status (multivessel or single-vessel) and treatment allocation with respect to NACE (Pinteraction=0.542). In the multivessel subgroup, NACE occurred in 44/368 (12.1%) and 45/352 (12.9%) in the stepwise de-escalation and standard DAPT groups (HR IPTW:0.95, 95%CI:0.62-1.75, P=0.818), respectively. In the single-vessel subgroup, NACE occurred in 43/607 (7.1%) and 39/621 (6.3%) in the stepwise de-escalation and standard groups (HR IPTW:1.12, 95%CI:0.72-1.70, P=0.611), respectively. For the prespecified hierarchical secondary endpoint, win ratio analyses yielded more wins for stepwise de-escalation in both subgroups. CONCLUSIONS Among patients with ACS undergoing DCB-only angioplasty, those with multivessel disease were associated with a higher risk of NACE than those with single-vessel disease. Stepwise DAPT de-escalation and standard DAPT exhibited similar risk-benefit profiles in both subgroups.

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Prospective In-silico Simulation of the VESALIUS-CV Trial Using Biomedical Knowledge Graph and Real-World Data-Driven AI Modeling

Perlman, A.; Goldstein, N.; Goldman, M.; Shapiro, M.; Barash, E.; Bar, A.; Raveh, T.; Tordjman, E.; Schussheim, H.; Dormont, F.; Matalon, O.

2026-08-31 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361436 medRxiv
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Background. Cardiovascular-outcomes trials are lengthy, costly, and associated with substantial uncertainty prior to readout. In-silico trial simulation using real-world data (RWD) has emerged as a potential tool to support earlier decision-making; however, evidence of prospective predictive validity, generated prior to trial result disclosure, remains limited. Methods. We applied a semi-mechanistic machine learning framework integrating real-world patient data with biologically informed drug representations to prospectively simulate the VESALIUS-CV trial evaluating evolocumab versus placebo. The simulation model was trained on a combination of patient-level real-world data and a drug-centric knowledge graph and validated for both patient-level and trial-level retrospective predictive performance. The model was then used to simulate VESALIUS-CV before public disclosure of trial results, using a locked model and prespecified eligibility criteria and primary endpoint aligned with the clinical protocol. A patient-level time-to-event model was used to generate virtual trial arms, from which cumulative incidence curves, hazard ratios, confidence intervals, and p-values for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were estimated. Results. In retrospective validation, the model demonstrated strong patient-level discrimination, with time-dependent ROC-AUC values ranging from 0.80 to 0.90 across follow-up horizons. For trial-level validation, 22 randomized cardiovascular-outcomes trials were simulated, and hazard ratios for 3-point MACE across 24 between-arm comparisons showed consistent directional agreement and quantitative correlation with published results such that the model accurately predicted trial success, achieving an F1 score of 0.83, with precision of 0.79 and sensitivity of 0.89. In a fully prospective application, the simulation predicted a statistically significant reduction in 3-point MACE with evolocumab versus placebo, estimating a hazard ratio of 0.78 (95% CI, 0.70-0.87) at 54 months. These predictions were consistent with the subsequently reported VESALIUS-CV results, which demonstrated a hazard ratio of 0.75 (95% CI, 0.65-0.86) at 55 months of median follow-up. Conclusions. In a fully prospective setting, a RWD-driven, AI-based simulation accurately predicted the direction, magnitude, and temporal dynamics of treatment effects observed in the VESALIUS-CV trial. These results demonstrate that in-silico trial simulation can anticipate clinical outcomes in the prospective setting, supporting its use as a complementary tool for early decision-making, trial design optimization, and de-risking in cardiovascular drug development.

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Cost-Outcome Variation in Percutaneous Mechanical Circulatory Support: A National Value-of-Care Analysis

Greendyk, J. D.; Allen, W. E.; Hossain, A.; Trichas, Z.

2026-09-02 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361851 medRxiv
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Background: Percutaneous mechanical circulatory support (pMCS) is increasingly used in critically ill patients, yet its value in relation to cost and outcomes remains unclear. We evaluated national variation in utilization, outcomes, and cost, and introduced a value of care framework integrating risk-adjusted outcomes and expenditures. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study using the National Inpatient Sample to identify non-elective hospitalizations of critically ill patients undergoing intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) or percutaneous left ventricular assist device (pLVAD) placement using ICD-10 codes. Multivariable logistic regression and generalized linear models were used to estimate expected outcomes and costs. Observed-to-expected (O/E) ratios were calculated, and a value index was derived to compare procedural strategies. Results: A total of 57,910 weighted hospitalizations were included (IABP 78%, pLVAD 22%). In-hospital mortality exceeded 30% across regions. Significant regional variation was observed, with the West demonstrating the highest costs and the Midwest the lowest (p<0.001). Mean hospital charges were higher for pLVAD compared with IABP ($403,731 vs $320,769). Both strategies achieved outcomes better than expected after risk adjustment (O/E 0.92); however, costs were higher than expected for both, with greater relative cost inflation observed for IABP (O/E 1.41) and higher absolute costs for pLVAD. In value-of-care analysis, IABP was associated with lower cost and comparable outcomes, while pLVAD demonstrated higher cost without proportional outcome improvement. Conclusion: Substantial variation exists in the cost, outcomes, and value of pMCS strategies. While both IABP and pLVAD achieve favorable risk-adjusted outcomes, pLVAD is associated with higher costs without commensurate clinical benefit.

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Gut microbiome-derived metabolic remodeling and the butyrate-IL-18 inflammatory axis after transcatheter aortic valve implantation

Chong-Nguyen, C.; Ferro, C.; Yilmaz, B.; Tomii, D.; Dupuy, C.; Nadal-Desbarats, L.; Nicholson, P.; Pandey, A.; Pilgrim, T.; Doering, Y.

2026-08-31 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.30.26361742 medRxiv
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Background: Severe aortic stenosis is associated with systemic and splanchnic hemodynamic disturbances that may alter gut microbial metabolism and host inflammatory responses. Objectives: We aimed to determine whether TAVI remodels the gut microbiome-derived metabolome and whether post-procedural SCFA dynamics are associated with the inflammatory cytokine response. Methods: We conducted a prospective paired single-center study of patients undergoing elective TAVI at Bern University Hospital. Stool and blood samples were collected before and three months after the procedure. Gut microbial composition was profiled by full-length 16S rRNA sequencing, circulating short-chain fatty acids (SCFAs) by targeted metabolomics, and inflammatory mediators by multiplex cytokine analysis, and integrated with hemodynamic and clinical data. Results: Forty patients were enrolled. Following TAVI, microbial richness declined without significant restructuring of overall community composition. In contrast, circulating SCFA profiles were significantly remodeled, driven by selective reductions in butyrate and isovalerate. A greater decline in circulating butyrate was inversely associated with IL-18 elevation (rho=0.668, p<0.001, n=36), independent of aortic valve calcification burden, hemodynamic improvement, and cardiovascular medications. Baseline isovalerate was nominally associated with 1-month adjudicated adverse events (AUC 0.77; exploratory). Conclusions: TAVI is associated with selective changes in gut microbiome-derived metabolic output rather than broad alterations in microbial community structure. Declining circulating butyrate identifies a gut-metabolite-immune axis linked to IL-18 dynamics and represents a potential biomarker of inflammatory recovery following valve intervention.

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Burden of fatigue in compensated chronic liver disease: findings from the multinational a:GAP Study

Choudhuri, G.; Akhundova-Unadkat, G.; Naidoo, N.; Morales-Castillo, M.; Guillaume, X.; Duijnhoven, R. G.; Safaei, A.; Swain, M. G.

2026-09-02 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361618 medRxiv
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Background & Aims: Fatigue is a central symptom of chronic liver disease (CLD), substantially impacting health-related quality of life (HRQoL). This study aimed to further understand CLD symptomatology, including fatigue, and its impact on HRQoL from a patient perspective. Methods: Abbott Global Assessment of Patients unmet needs (aGAP) was a multinational, cross-sectional survey in adults with compensated CLD in China, India and Mexico, conducted between July and November 2024. Adult participants who self-reported that they had physician-diagnosed CLD and were experiencing fatigue completed a quantitative survey to assess symptom burden and included three HRQoL patient-reported outcome (PRO) questionnaires (Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System [PROMIS]-29+2, Work Productivity and Activity Impairment - Specific Health Problem version 2.0 [WPAI: SHP], Multidimensional Fatigue Inventory [MFI]). Results: Overall, 505 participants (China: 200; Mexico: 105; India: 200) completed the study. Participants reported that their CLD-related fatigue sometimes, often or always affected their self-esteem/confidence (45.1%) and ability to maintain or acquire new employment (38.6%). Most participants reported moderate (51.3%) or serious (26.9%) fatigue, with 33.5% experiencing fatigue every day or almost every day. Many participants felt their social life was negatively impacted by their fatigue (47.3%) and that there were related financial difficulties (53.9%). Use of validated PRO tools demonstrated severe fatigue (MFI: overall mean [SD] 13.9 [3.4] general fatigue and 13.4 [3.6] physical fatigue) as well as substantial levels of work and activity impairment (WPAI: SHP overall mean [SD] 53.0 [26.4]) and high levels of anxiety, pain interference, depression and sleep interference (PROMIS T-scores [&ge;]54). Conclusions: Fatigue has a substantial impact on HRQoL among adults with CLD across several countries, highlighting a global unmet need for targeted interventions to effectively identify and manage the condition.

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GLP-1/GIP Uptake, Indication, and Access Pathways Among US Adults in the Understanding America Study

Chaturvedi, R. R.; Gracner, T.; Perez-Arce, F.; Suen, S.-c.; Jin, J.; Orriens, B.; Pacula, R. L.; Sexton Ward, A.; Haile, R.; Kapteyn, A.

2026-09-02 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361368 medRxiv
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Importance: Evidence on GLP-1/GIP therapies is largely derived from trials enrolling selected populations or medical records that miss utilization outside healthcare channels. No nationally representative cohort has characterized real-world uptake, indications, and access. Objective: To characterize GLP-1/GIP prevalence, indication, clinical profile, and access. Design: Prospective cohort study with three GLP-1/GIP surveillance waves (March 2024, December 2024, October 2025). Setting: The Understanding America Study, an address-based, nationally representative panel of approximately 15,000 US adults aged 18+ years initiated in 2014. Participants: UAS participants responding to at least one surveillance wave (n=9150). Exposures: GLP-1/GIP use status (never vs any use, comprising current and former use), self-reported primary indication (diabetes, weight loss, or other), and access pathway (traditional vs non-traditional). Main Outcomes and Measures: Survey-weighted prevalence of GLP-1/GIP use, overall and by indication and access pathway; sociodemographic, cardiometabolic, treatment, and access characteristics; and smartwatch-derived resting heart rate, heart rate variability, maximum activity heart rate, step count, and sleep duration and variability. Results: Among n=9150 adults (1274 with any use; 60.9% female; median age 53 years), weighted prevalence increased 46%, from 8.2% (March 2024) to 12.0% (October 2025) representing 32 million. Weight-loss indications grew, reaching nearly half of use (4.1% to 5.6%); diabetes-indicated use was stable (5.3% to 5.4%). Users carried high cardiometabolic burden (obesity, 68.2%; diabetes, 53.6%) but diverged by indication: diabetes-indicated users were older (median, 59 vs 49 years), whereas weight-loss-indicated users were more often female (69.9% vs 51.3%) and healthier. One in three users (~9 million) had non-traditional access, especially in weight-loss-indicated users, of whom 33% had no conventional prescription; 41% used compounding, online, or foreign pharmacies; and, 43% lacked coverage. Non-traditional users were five times as likely to report an unlisted, likely compounded formulation (19.8% vs 4.1%). All p<0.05. Conclusions and Relevance: Real-world GLP-1/GIP use has grown rapidly and diversified substantially in indication, access, and population profile. One in 3 users obtained treatment through nontraditional channels largely invisible to claims data, raising long-term safety, efficacy, and coverage questions. GLIMMER provides a public, nationally representative longitudinal evidence base for future payer and provider decisions.

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An interpretable, formally verified point-of-care ultrasound risk equation for difficult videolaryngoscopy: development and internal validation

Oyarzun-Silva, R. A.; Hernandez-Hernandez, P.; Fernandez-Vaquero, M. A.; De Luis-Cabezon, N.

2026-09-02 anesthesia 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361621 medRxiv
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Background. Videolaryngoscopy still requires adjuncts or hyperangulated rescue in a clinically important minority, and bedside screening discriminates modestly. Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) of the anterior airway is a promising alternative, but existing prediction models are opaque or assume a pre-specified functional form. We developed and internally validated a parsimonious, fully disclosed POCUS risk equation whose form is recovered from data and whose structural properties are machine-checked by formal proof - to our knowledge the first formally verified clinical risk predictor - following TRIPOD+AI 2024. Methods. In a prospective single-centre, single-operator cohort of 259 adults undergoing elective videolaryngoscopy (no-Easy airway 68/259, 26.3%), Sequentially Thresholded Least Squares with bootstrap stability selection (B=300) screened a 71-term library of nine POCUS features and retained a seven-term logistic equation; a two-term bootstrap-stable model was pre-specified as robustness analysis. Internal validation used 5x10 repeated cross-validation plus temporal and device hold-outs, with pre-specified overfitting and optimism assessments. Five behavioural properties of the deployed equation were machine-checked in Lean 4. Results. Two interactions met the |c|/sigma_c>2 stability criterion: skin-to-epiglottis x skin-to-hyoid-bone distance and tongue volume x sagittal tongue area. The seven-term equation reached a 5x10 cross-validated C-statistic of 0.966 (optimism-corrected 0.968) and held across temporal and device hold-outs (0.94-0.97). Calibration-in-the-large matched prevalence, with cross-validated slope 0.90 attenuating to 0.625 out-of-time; standard recalibration restored 0.92 without loss of discrimination. The pre-specified two-term robustness model reproduced this performance (C-statistic 0.964-0.968; events-per-parameter 34; shrinkage 0.99), confirming the result is not an artefact of the screening stage. Net benefit over a clinical baseline was positive across 10-50% thresholds. All five Lean 4 theorems compiled without sorry. Conclusions. A sparse, formally verified POCUS equation predicts difficult videolaryngoscopy with high internally validated discrimination and quantified, modest overfitting. Because the equation was developed in a single-operator cohort and its inputs are operator-dependent, external validation requires prior harmonisation of the measurement protocol and operator credentialing.